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Climate-driven crisis and its Security impact in the Eastern Africa – EAIPG-PP-005-2024

Climate change is leading to significant transformations in Eastern Africa, a region already plagued by conflicts. This paper delves into the intricate relationship between climate-driven crises and their impacts on security in Eastern Africa. Through an analysis of environmental changes, conflict dynamics, migration patterns, and vulnerability to natural disasters, this study aims to provide valuable insights into the complex interlinkages between climate change and security in the region. The findings of this research highlight that climate stresses exacerbate various security challenges in Eastern Africa. Violent extremism is intensified as environmental degradation and resource scarcity provide fertile ground for recruitment and radicalization. Forced migration surges as people flee from climate-related challenges, such as droughts, floods, and agricultural disruptions, which in turn puts pressure on host communities and exacerbates social tensions. Moreover, the region is prone to frequent natural disasters, further aggravating security fragility. The underlying governance issues in Eastern Africa play a significant role in amplifying vulnerability to climate-driven crises and exacerbating security challenges. Factors such as poor governance, economic disparities, and corruption contribute to the region’s susceptibility to climate impacts and hinder effective responses to security threats. In conclusion, this study emphasizes the pressing need to understand and address the security implications of climate-driven crises in Eastern Africa. The findings underscore the exacerbating effects of climate stresses on violent extremism, forced migration, social tensions, and natural disasters in the region. By adopting integrated strategies that tackle climate change, conflict resolution, migration management, and disaster resilience, Eastern Africa can confront the multifaceted security challenges and pave the way for a more secure and sustainable future.


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